Goal expectancy
1.09Expected goals0.98
From 5 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Istres 0-0 Chateauroux Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Istres
Estimated win chances: Istres 37.8%, draw 30.2%, Chateauroux 32.1%. From 5 and 4 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
21Cold spellIstres
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
15Cold spellChateauroux
Istres · low scoring · cold formChateauroux · Structured / conservative
Istres
0W · 3D · 2LRecent →DDLLD
Momentum index
Chateauroux
0W · 2D · 2LRecent →LDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Istres
3 pts0% wins
0W · 3D · 2L · 5 played
For2
Against6
Chateauroux
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 2L · 4 played
For1
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Istres offensive edge
Istres faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
0 - Chateauroux offensive edge
Chateauroux runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
0
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Istreslow scoring · cold form
ChateaurouxStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Istres43%
3Draws
1Chateauroux14%