Istres 2-3 Metz Prediction

IstresIstres
2 — 3FT
MetzMetz
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

IstresIstresvsMetzMetz

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Istres

Estimated win chances: Istres 40.8%, draw 29%, Metz 30.2%. From 35 and 35 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.20Expected goals0.99

From 35 and 35 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–013.6%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–011.3%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 2–08.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

45MixedIstres
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

41MixedMetz
Metz · low scoring

Istres

11W · 13D · 11L
Recent →LLDWLDWLWLDWLWWDWDWDWWDLLDLDDLLDDWD
Momentum index

Metz

8W · 15D · 12L
Recent →WLWDDDLLWDDDDWLDWLWLDLDDLWDDLDDWLLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapIstres +7

Istres

46 pts
31% wins

11W · 13D · 11L · 35 played

For
38
Against
39
Goal diff -1

Metz

39 pts
23% wins

8W · 15D · 12L · 35 played

For
34
Against
34
Goal diff +0

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Istres offensive edge

    Istres faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -9
  • Metz offensive edge

    Metz's attack (56%) vs Istres's defense (47%).

    +9

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Istres44
Metz56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Istres47
Metz53

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Istres45
Metz41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Istres32
Metz68

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Istres30
Metz30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Istres33
Metz67

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Istres50
Metz50
Metzlow scoring

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Istres0%
1Draws
0Metz0%

Recent meetings

Metz
0 – 0FT
Istres

Ligue 2Round 19