Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals1.92
From 21 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Pobeda
Estimated win chances: Izberbash 26.1%, draw 22.2%, Pobeda 51.7%. From 21 and 19 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
24Cold spellIzberbash
Weighted momentum
Pobeda arrives with stronger form weighting (+33 momentum).
57BuildingPobeda
Izberbash · High-risk / fragile
Izberbash
6W · 0D · 15LRecent →LLLLLWLLWWLLLWLLWLLLW
Momentum index
Pobeda
9W · 3D · 7LRecent →LWLWWDWLWLWWWWLDDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Izberbash
18 pts29% wins
6W · 0D · 15L · 21 played
For19
Against57
Pobeda
30 pts47% wins
9W · 3D · 7L · 19 played
For36
Against26
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Izberbash offensive edge
Izberbash faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-41 - Pobeda offensive edge
Pobeda's attack (77%) vs Izberbash's defense (36%).
+41
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
IzberbashHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Izberbash100%
0Draws
0Pobeda0%