Goal expectancy
1.19Expected goals1.02
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Jacuipense 1-0 ASA Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Jacuipense
Estimated win chances: Jacuipense 39.8%, draw 28.9%, Asa 31.3%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedJacuipense
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
42MixedAsa
Jacuipense · low scoringAsa · low scoring
Jacuipense
4W · 2D · 4LRecent →LLWLWWLWDD
Momentum index
Asa
4W · 3D · 3LRecent →WLLLDDWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapAsa +1
Jacuipense
14 pts40% wins
4W · 2D · 4L · 10 played
For9
Against11
Asa
15 pts40% wins
4W · 3D · 3L · 10 played
For9
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Jacuipense offensive edge
Jacuipense's attack (67%) vs Asa's defense (54%).
+13 - Asa offensive edge
Asa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Jacuipenselow scoring
Asalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Jacuipense63%
2Draws
1Asa13%