Goal expectancy
1.45Expected goals1.38
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Jacuipense 39%, draw 25.1%, Treze 35.9%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.45Expected goals1.38
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
3W · 4D · 3L · 10 played
5W · 2D · 3L · 10 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Jacuipense's attack (58%) vs Treze's defense (42%).
+16Treze runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-16Comparison indices from the match data partner.
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.