Goal expectancy
1.48Expected goals1.22
From 12 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Jak
Estimated win chances: Jak 43.2%, draw 25.6%, Jso 31.2%. From 12 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedJak
Weighted momentum
Jak carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
32Cold spellJso
Jak · leaky defenseJso · low scoring · cold form
Jak
4W · 4D · 4LRecent →LWLWDDLWLDWD
Momentum index
Jso
3W · 4D · 6LRecent →LLWDLDLWWLDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Jak
16 pts33% wins
4W · 4D · 4L · 12 played
For18
Against23
Jso
13 pts23% wins
3W · 4D · 6L · 13 played
For11
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Jak offensive edge
Jak's attack (85%) vs Jso's defense (67%).
+18 - Jso offensive edge
Jso runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-18
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Jakleaky defense
Jsolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Jak67%
1Draws
0Jso0%