Goal expectancy
1.56Expected goals1.05
From 9 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Jeunesse Evolution 0-0 CERFA Prediction
Balanced — model leans Jeunesse Evolution
Estimated win chances: Jeunesse Evolution 49.1%, draw 25.3%, Cerfa 25.5%. From 9 and 11 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingJeunesse Evolution
Weighted momentum
Jeunesse Evolution carries the sharper recent run (+38 momentum).
17Cold spellCerfa
Cerfa · cold form
Jeunesse Evolution
4W · 3D · 2LRecent →DWDLWDWWL
Momentum index
Cerfa
1W · 4D · 6LRecent →LDLDDLLLDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Jeunesse Evolution
15 pts44% wins
4W · 3D · 2L · 9 played
For13
Against9
Cerfa
7 pts9% wins
1W · 4D · 6L · 11 played
For12
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Jeunesse Evolution offensive edge
Jeunesse Evolution's attack (50%) vs Cerfa's defense (25%).
+25 - Cerfa offensive edge
Cerfa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cerfacold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Jeunesse Evolution29%
1Draws
4Cerfa57%