Goal expectancy
1.52Expected goals1.20
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Joane 44.7%, draw 25.3%, Brito 30%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.52Expected goals1.20
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
5W · 3D · 4L · 12 played
4W · 3D · 5L · 12 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Joane faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-3Brito's attack (58%) vs Joane's defense (55%).
+3Comparison indices from the match data partner.