Joane 2-2 Brito Prediction

JoaneJoane
2 — 2FT
BritoBrito

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Joane

Estimated win chances: Joane 44.7%, draw 25.3%, Brito 30%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.52Expected goals1.20

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 2–07.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

46MixedJoane
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

44MixedBrito

Joane

5W · 3D · 4L
Recent →WLLWLDDDWWLW
Momentum index

Brito

4W · 3D · 5L
Recent →DDWLLWDWLWLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapJoane +3

Joane

18 pts
42% wins

5W · 3D · 4L · 12 played

For
14
Against
16
Goal diff -2

Brito

15 pts
33% wins

4W · 3D · 5L · 12 played

For
16
Against
19
Goal diff -3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Joane offensive edge

    Joane faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -3
  • Brito offensive edge

    Brito's attack (58%) vs Joane's defense (55%).

    +3

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Joane42
Brito58

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Joane55
Brito45

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Joane46
Brito44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Joane44
Brito56

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Joane30
Brito32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Joane55
Brito45

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Joane0
Brito0