Goal expectancy
2.29Expected goals1.79
From 17 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
JS Hercules 3-1 Jaro 2 Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Js Hercules
Estimated win chances: Js Hercules 49.5%, draw 19.9%, Jaro 2 30.6%. From 17 and 17 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
31Cold spellJs Hercules
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
35Cold spellJaro 2
Js Hercules · High-risk / fragileJaro 2 · High-risk / fragile
Js Hercules
5W · 3D · 9LRecent →LDLWWDDLLLLLLLWWW
Momentum index
Jaro 2
8W · 1D · 8LRecent →LLLDWLLLWLWWLWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJaro 2 +7
Js Hercules
18 pts29% wins
5W · 3D · 9L · 17 played
For28
Against41
Jaro 2
25 pts47% wins
8W · 1D · 8L · 17 played
For32
Against51
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Js Hercules offensive edge
Js Hercules's attack (65%) vs Jaro 2's defense (42%).
+23 - Jaro 2 offensive edge
Jaro 2 runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Js HerculesHigh-risk / fragile
Jaro 2High-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Js Hercules100%
0Draws
0Jaro 20%