Goal expectancy
2.78Expected goals0.85
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Junior Sevan 4-2 Ararat II Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Junior Sevan
Estimated win chances: Junior Sevan 77.5%, draw 13.8%, Ararat Ii 8.8%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
98Hot streakJunior Sevan
Weighted momentum
Junior Sevan carries the sharper recent run (+73 momentum).
25Cold spellArarat Ii
Junior Sevan · compact defense · hot formArarat Ii · High-risk / fragile
Junior Sevan
15W · 1D · 0LRecent →WWWWWWWWWWWWWWDW
Momentum index
Ararat Ii
3W · 3D · 10LRecent →LLLWWLDLLDLLLWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJunior Sevan +34
Junior Sevan
46 pts94% wins
15W · 1D · 0L · 16 played
For46
Against8
Ararat Ii
12 pts19% wins
3W · 3D · 10L · 16 played
For17
Against46
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Junior Sevan offensive edge
Junior Sevan's attack (77%) vs Ararat Ii's defense (30%).
+47 - Ararat Ii offensive edge
Ararat Ii runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-47
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Junior Sevancompact defense · hot form
Ararat IiHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Junior Sevan0%
0Draws
1Ararat Ii100%