Junior Sevan 1-0 Erebuni Prediction

Junior SevanJunior Sevan
1 — 0FT
ErebuniErebuni

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Junior Sevan

Estimated win chances: Junior Sevan 57%, draw 22.2%, Erebuni 20.8%. From 3 and 3 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.90Expected goals1.06

From 3 and 3 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111%
  • 2–110.4%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 3–16.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

78Hot streakJunior Sevan
Weighted momentum

Junior Sevan carries the sharper recent run (+67 momentum).

11Cold spellErebuni
Junior Sevan · compact defense · hot formErebuni · High-risk / fragile

Junior Sevan

2W · 1D · 0L
Recent →WDW
Momentum index

Erebuni

0W · 1D · 2L
Recent →LDL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapJunior Sevan +6

Junior Sevan

7 pts
67% wins

2W · 1D · 0L · 3 played

For
5
Against
2
Goal diff +3

Erebuni

1 pts
0% wins

0W · 1D · 2L · 3 played

For
3
Against
9
Goal diff -6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Junior Sevan offensive edge

    Junior Sevan's attack (63%) vs Erebuni's defense (18%).

    +45
  • Erebuni offensive edge

    Erebuni runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -44

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Junior Sevan63
Erebuni38

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Junior Sevan82
Erebuni18

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Junior Sevan78
Erebuni11

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Junior Sevan140
Erebuni-38

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Junior Sevan30
Erebuni63

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Junior Sevan88
Erebuni13

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Junior Sevan0
Erebuni0
Junior Sevancompact defense · hot form
ErebuniHigh-risk / fragile