Goal expectancy
2.95Expected goals0.66
From 25 and 25 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Junior Sevan 3-0 Erebuni Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Junior Sevan
Estimated win chances: Junior Sevan 83.3%, draw 11.2%, Erebuni 5.5%. From 25 and 25 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
69Hot streakJunior Sevan
Weighted momentum
Junior Sevan carries the sharper recent run (+69 momentum).
0Cold spellErebuni
Junior Sevan · compact defense · hot formErebuni · High-risk / fragile
Junior Sevan
18W · 5D · 2LRecent →LDDDDWWLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDW
Momentum index
Erebuni
0W · 1D · 24LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJunior Sevan +58
Junior Sevan
59 pts72% wins
18W · 5D · 2L · 25 played
For65
Against19
Erebuni
1 pts0% wins
0W · 1D · 24L · 25 played
For10
Against82
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Junior Sevan offensive edge
Junior Sevan's attack (100%) vs Erebuni's defense (29%).
+71 - Erebuni offensive edge
Erebuni runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-71
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Junior Sevancompact defense · hot form
ErebuniHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Junior Sevan50%
0Draws
1Erebuni50%