Goal expectancy
1.62Expected goals1.26
From 22 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Juventud Retalteca 2-0 Malacateco Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Juventud Retalteca
Estimated win chances: Juventud Retalteca 45.8%, draw 24.4%, Malacateco 29.8%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
28Cold spellJuventud Retalteca
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
33Cold spellMalacateco
Juventud Retalteca · cold formMalacateco · High-risk / fragile
Juventud Retalteca
4W · 8D · 10LRecent →LLDLLDDWWLDLLWDDLDDLWL
Momentum index
Malacateco
4W · 10D · 8LRecent →LWDLDWDDLDLDLDLDLWDWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapMalacateco +2
Juventud Retalteca
20 pts18% wins
4W · 8D · 10L · 22 played
For24
Against33
Malacateco
22 pts18% wins
4W · 10D · 8L · 22 played
For29
Against42
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Juventud Retalteca offensive edge
Juventud Retalteca faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Malacateco offensive edge
Malacateco's attack (50%) vs Juventud Retalteca's defense (43%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Juventud Retaltecacold form
MalacatecoHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Juventud Retalteca100%
0Draws
0Malacateco0%