Juventud 1-5 Progreso Prediction

Juventud

1 — 5FT29 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTC

Progreso

Overview Lineups Statistics Standings Events Players PredictionsForm Injuries H2H

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 00:43 UTC

JuventudvsProgreso

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Juventud

Estimated win chances: Juventud 39.3%, draw 28.3%, Progreso 32.4%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.

TempoMedium

VolatilityLow

Expected goalsLow

Tactical styleBalanced

Upset potentialHigh

Draw riskHigh

Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.22Expected goals1.08

From 6 and 6 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

1–113.4%
1–012.4%
0–111%
0–010.2%
2–18.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

78Hot streakJuventud

Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

74Hot streakProgreso

Juventud · compact defense · hot formProgreso · compact defense · hot form

Juventud

4W · 1D · 1L

Recent →WWWDLW

Momentum index

Progreso

4W · 2D · 0L

Recent →WDDWWW

Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapProgreso +1

Juventud

13 pts

67% wins

4W · 1D · 1L · 6 played

For

Against

Goal diff +7

Progreso

14 pts

67% wins

4W · 2D · 0L · 6 played

For

Against

Goal diff +9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

Juventud offensive edge
Juventud faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12
Progreso offensive edge
Progreso's attack (63%) vs Juventud's defense (50%).
+13

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Juventud38

Progreso63

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Juventud50

Progreso50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Juventud78

Progreso74

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Juventud26

Progreso76

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Juventud30

Progreso30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Juventud48

Progreso52

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Juventud38

Progreso62

Juventudcompact defense · hot form

Progresocompact defense · hot form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Juventud0%

0Draws

1Progreso100%

Recent meetings

6 Aug 2022, 13:15 UTC