Goal expectancy
1.68Expected goals1.15
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Juventude Évora 3-0 Aljustrelense Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Juventude Évora
Estimated win chances: Juventude Évora 49.8%, draw 24.1%, Aljustrelense 26.1%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
33Cold spellJuventude Évora
Weighted momentum
Juventude Évora carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
15Cold spellAljustrelense
Juventude Évora · High-risk / fragileAljustrelense · High-risk / fragile
Juventude Évora
1W · 2D · 1LRecent →LDDW
Momentum index
Aljustrelense
0W · 2D · 2LRecent →LDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJuventude Évora +3
Juventude Évora
5 pts25% wins
1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played
For6
Against7
Aljustrelense
2 pts0% wins
0W · 2D · 2L · 4 played
For2
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Juventude Évora offensive edge
Juventude Évora's attack (75%) vs Aljustrelense's defense (47%).
+28 - Aljustrelense offensive edge
Aljustrelense runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-28
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Juventude ÉvoraHigh-risk / fragile
AljustrelenseHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Juventude Évora50%
1Draws
0Aljustrelense0%