Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.35
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Juventude 35.8%, draw 26.1%, Gremio 38.1%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
19Cold spellJuventude
Weighted momentum
Gremio arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).
43MixedGremio
Juventude · High-risk / fragileGremio · low scoring
Juventude
2W · 2D · 6LRecent →LDLLLDLWLW
Momentum index
Gremio
3W · 3D · 4LRecent →WLDWDDLLLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGremio +4
Juventude
8 pts20% wins
2W · 2D · 6L · 10 played
For8
Against22
Gremio
12 pts30% wins
3W · 3D · 4L · 10 played
For9
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Juventude offensive edge
Juventude faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-44 - Gremio offensive edge
Gremio's attack (71%) vs Juventude's defense (27%).
+44
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
JuventudeHigh-risk / fragile
Gremiolow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Juventude80%
1Draws
0Gremio0%