Goal expectancy
1.38Expected goals1.26
From 8 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Juventude
Estimated win chances: Juventude 39.7%, draw 26.1%, Gremio 34.2%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
68Hot streakJuventude
Weighted momentum
Juventude carries the sharper recent run (+12 momentum).
56BuildingGremio
Juventude · compact defense · hot formGremio · compact defense
Juventude
4W · 4D · 0LRecent →DWDWWWDD
Momentum index
Gremio
4W · 2D · 2LRecent →DWDLWWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJuventude +2
Juventude
16 pts50% wins
4W · 4D · 0L · 8 played
For12
Against6
Gremio
14 pts50% wins
4W · 2D · 2L · 8 played
For16
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Juventude offensive edge
Juventude's attack (56%) vs Gremio's defense (40%).
+16 - Gremio offensive edge
Gremio runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-16
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Juventudecompact defense · hot form
Gremiocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Juventude56%
3Draws
1Gremio11%