Juventus 3-2 Genoa Prediction

JuventusJuventus
3 — 2FT
GenoaGenoa

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Juventus

Estimated win chances: Juventus 47.5%, draw 26.6%, Genoa 25.9%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.44Expected goals0.99

From 31 and 31 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–012.9%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–09%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

50MixedJuventus
Weighted momentum

Juventus carries the sharper recent run (+9 momentum).

41MixedGenoa
Genoa · low scoring

Juventus

13W · 9D · 9L
Recent →WWDLLLWWLLDWLLDWWDWDDWWDWDWLWDL
Momentum index

Genoa

10W · 9D · 12L
Recent →LDWLLWWDDLWDLDDLWDLWWLLWLWLDDLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapJuventus +9

Juventus

48 pts
42% wins

13W · 9D · 9L · 31 played

For
47
Against
38
Goal diff +9

Genoa

39 pts
32% wins

10W · 9D · 12L · 31 played

For
29
Against
34
Goal diff -5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Juventus offensive edge

    Juventus's attack (55%) vs Genoa's defense (40%).

    +15
  • Genoa offensive edge

    Genoa runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -15

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Juventus55
Genoa45

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Juventus60
Genoa40

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Juventus50
Genoa41

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Juventus80
Genoa20

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Juventus30
Genoa30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Juventus64
Genoa36

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Juventus100
Genoa0
Genoalow scoring