Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals1.41
From 24 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Estimated win chances: Juventus 41.6%, draw 24.3%, Inter 34.1%. From 24 and 23 competition matches.
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
1.58Expected goals1.41
From 24 and 23 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
Inter arrives with stronger form weighting (+16 momentum).
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
10W · 8D · 6L · 24 played
13W · 5D · 5L · 23 played
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
Juventus faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6Inter's attack (68%) vs Juventus's defense (63%).
+5Comparison indices from the match data partner.