Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.57
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Velden
Estimated win chances: Kac 31.6%, draw 24.7%, Velden 43.7%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
50MixedKac
Weighted momentum
Velden arrives with stronger form weighting (+13 momentum).
63BuildingVelden
Velden · compact defense
Kac
10W · 6D · 12LRecent →LWLWLLWWWDWWWWDLLDWLLLDLLLDD
Momentum index
Velden
15W · 8D · 5LRecent →LWLWDWWWWWWWLDDDLWWDDWDLDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapVelden +17
Kac
36 pts36% wins
10W · 6D · 12L · 28 played
For40
Against44
Velden
53 pts54% wins
15W · 8D · 5L · 28 played
For56
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Kac offensive edge
Kac faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6 - Velden offensive edge
Velden's attack (53%) vs Kac's defense (47%).
+6
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Veldencompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Kac0%
1Draws
0Velden0%