Goal expectancy
1.14Expected goals1.34
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Jippo
Estimated win chances: Käpa 31.7%, draw 27%, Jippo 41.3%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
19Cold spellKäpa
Weighted momentum
Jippo arrives with stronger form weighting (+32 momentum).
51MixedJippo
Käpa · High-risk / fragileJippo · compact defense
Käpa
4W · 4D · 11LRecent →LLLLLDLWLLWLDLLDWDW
Momentum index
Jippo
8W · 7D · 4LRecent →LLWDWWDDWDLLWDWWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapJippo +15
Käpa
16 pts21% wins
4W · 4D · 11L · 19 played
For20
Against32
Jippo
31 pts42% wins
8W · 7D · 4L · 19 played
For24
Against16
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Käpa offensive edge
Käpa faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-25 - Jippo offensive edge
Jippo's attack (63%) vs Käpa's defense (38%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
KäpaHigh-risk / fragile
Jippocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Käpa60%
2Draws
2Jippo20%