Karbach 1-0 Baumholder Prediction

KarbachKarbach
1 — 0FT
BaumholderBaumholder

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Karbach

Estimated win chances: Karbach 57.7%, draw 22.3%, Baumholder 20%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.88Expected goals1.01

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–011%
  • 2–110.4%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 3–16.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

84Hot streakKarbach
Weighted momentum

Karbach carries the sharper recent run (+75 momentum).

9Cold spellBaumholder
Karbach · hot formBaumholder · High-risk / fragile

Karbach

3W · 0D · 1L
Recent →WWWL
Momentum index

Baumholder

0W · 1D · 3L
Recent →LDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapKarbach +8

Karbach

9 pts
75% wins

3W · 0D · 1L · 4 played

For
8
Against
5
Goal diff +3

Baumholder

1 pts
0% wins

0W · 1D · 3L · 4 played

For
1
Against
9
Goal diff -8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Karbach offensive edge

    Karbach's attack (89%) vs Baumholder's defense (36%).

    +53
  • Baumholder offensive edge

    Baumholder runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -53

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Karbach89
Baumholder11

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Karbach64
Baumholder36

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Karbach84
Baumholder9

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Karbach156
Baumholder-56

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Karbach30
Baumholder48

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Karbach90
Baumholder10

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Karbach0
Baumholder0
Karbachhot form
BaumholderHigh-risk / fragile