Goal expectancy
1.05Expected goals0.91
From 18 and 18 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Karela
Estimated win chances: Karela 38.1%, draw 31.1%, Samartex 30.7%. From 18 and 18 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedKarela
Weighted momentum
Samartex arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
51MixedSamartex
Samartex · Structured / conservative
Karela
6W · 7D · 5LRecent →LDDWLWDWLDLWDDLWDW
Momentum index
Samartex
7W · 7D · 4LRecent →DWLWLWDDLWLWDWWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSamartex +3
Karela
25 pts33% wins
6W · 7D · 5L · 18 played
For19
Against19
Samartex
28 pts39% wins
7W · 7D · 4L · 18 played
For13
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Karela offensive edge
Karela faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-6 - Samartex offensive edge
Samartex's attack (43%) vs Karela's defense (38%).
+5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SamartexStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Karela71%
2Draws
0Samartex0%