Goal expectancy
1.84Expected goals1.52
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Karlskrona 1-0 Sölvesborg Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Karlskrona
Estimated win chances: Karlskrona 45.4%, draw 22.5%, Sölvesborg 32.1%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
61BuildingKarlskrona
Weighted momentum
Karlskrona carries the sharper recent run (+25 momentum).
36Cold spellSölvesborg
Sölvesborg · High-risk / fragile
Karlskrona
3W · 1D · 1LRecent →LWWDW
Momentum index
Sölvesborg
2W · 0D · 3LRecent →LLWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKarlskrona +4
Karlskrona
10 pts60% wins
3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played
For9
Against7
Sölvesborg
6 pts40% wins
2W · 0D · 3L · 5 played
For13
Against11
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Karlskrona offensive edge
Karlskrona's attack (41%) vs Sölvesborg's defense (39%).
+2 - Sölvesborg offensive edge
Sölvesborg runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-2
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
SölvesborgHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Karlskrona25%
2Draws
1Sölvesborg25%