Goal expectancy
1.96Expected goals1.19
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Karvan
Estimated win chances: Karvan 55.3%, draw 21.9%, Moik 22.9%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingKarvan
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
63BuildingMoik
Karvan
8W · 2D · 3LRecent →LDWWDLLWWWWWW
Momentum index
Moik
6W · 2D · 5LRecent →WWWWLWLLWLDDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKarvan +6
Karvan
26 pts62% wins
8W · 2D · 3L · 13 played
For30
Against17
Moik
20 pts46% wins
6W · 2D · 5L · 13 played
For17
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Karvan offensive edge
Karvan's attack (60%) vs Moik's defense (50%).
+10 - Moik offensive edge
Moik runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Karvan25%
2Draws
4Moik50%