Goal expectancy
1.29Expected goals1.02
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Kcb
Estimated win chances: Kcb 42.7%, draw 28%, Aps Bomet 29.4%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
72Hot streakKcb
Weighted momentum
Kcb carries the sharper recent run (+28 momentum).
44MixedAps Bomet
Kcb · hot formAps Bomet · Structured / conservative
Kcb
3W · 1D · 1LRecent →WWLWD
Momentum index
Aps Bomet
1W · 3D · 1LRecent →DWDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKcb +4
Kcb
10 pts60% wins
3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played
For8
Against5
Aps Bomet
6 pts20% wins
1W · 3D · 1L · 5 played
For4
Against2
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Kcb offensive edge
Kcb faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-4 - Aps Bomet offensive edge
Aps Bomet's attack (33%) vs Kcb's defense (29%).
+4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Kcbhot form
Aps BometStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Kcb100%
0Draws
0Aps Bomet0%