KCCA vs UPDF Prediction

KCCA

vsPST22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

UPDF

OverviewStatistics StandingsPlayers PredictionsForm Injuries H2H

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 16:02 UTC

KccavsUpdf

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Kcca

Estimated win chances: Kcca 40.8%, draw 30.3%, Updf 28.9%. From 6 and 6 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey

TempoMedium

VolatilityLow

Expected goalsLow

Tactical styleDefensive grind

Upset potentialMedium

Draw riskHigh

Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.13Expected goals0.90

From 6 and 6 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

1–015%
1–113.5%
0–013.2%
0–111.9%
2–08.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

69Hot streakKcca

Weighted momentum

Kcca carries the sharper recent run (+21 momentum).

48MixedUpdf

Kcca · Structured / conservativeUpdf · Structured / conservative

Kcca

3W · 1D · 2L

Recent →WWWDLL

Momentum index

Updf

2W · 2D · 2L

Recent →LWWDLD

Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapKcca +2

Kcca

10 pts

50% wins

3W · 1D · 2L · 6 played

For

Against

Goal diff +0

Updf

8 pts

33% wins

2W · 2D · 2L · 6 played

For

Against

Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

Kcca offensive edge
Kcca's attack (50%) vs Updf's defense (29%).
+21
Updf offensive edge
Updf runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-21

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Kcca50

Updf50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Kcca71

Updf29

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Kcca69

Updf48

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Kcca92

Updf8

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Kcca30

Updf30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Kcca59

Updf41

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Kcca93

Updf7

KccaStructured / conservative

UpdfStructured / conservative

H2H in this snapshot

From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.

3Kcca30%

2Draws

5Updf50%