Goal expectancy
1.41Expected goals1.20
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Khatlon
Estimated win chances: Khatlon 41.8%, draw 26.2%, Ravshan 32%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellKhatlon
Weighted momentum
Ravshan arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).
50MixedRavshan
Khatlon · cold form
Khatlon
3W · 4D · 3LRecent →DDDLLWDLWW
Momentum index
Ravshan
4W · 2D · 4LRecent →WLWLLWWDLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRavshan +1
Khatlon
13 pts30% wins
3W · 4D · 3L · 10 played
For13
Against12
Ravshan
14 pts40% wins
4W · 2D · 4L · 10 played
For14
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Khatlon offensive edge
Khatlon faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-12 - Ravshan offensive edge
Ravshan's attack (62%) vs Khatlon's defense (50%).
+12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Khatloncold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Khatlon60%
3Draws
1Ravshan10%