Goal expectancy
2.12Expected goals1.69
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Khovd 1-3 Bayanzürkh Sporting Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Khovd
Estimated win chances: Khovd 48%, draw 20.8%, Bayanzürkh Sporting 31.2%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
15Cold spellKhovd
Weighted momentum
Bayanzürkh Sporting arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).
29Cold spellBayanzürkh Sporting
Khovd · High-risk / fragileBayanzürkh Sporting · High-risk / fragile
Khovd
1W · 2D · 10LRecent →WLLLLLLLLLLDD
Momentum index
Bayanzürkh Sporting
3W · 0D · 10LRecent →LWWLLLLLWLLLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBayanzürkh Sporting +4
Khovd
5 pts8% wins
1W · 2D · 10L · 13 played
For11
Against30
Bayanzürkh Sporting
9 pts23% wins
3W · 0D · 10L · 13 played
For23
Against46
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Khovd offensive edge
Khovd faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-8 - Bayanzürkh Sporting offensive edge
Bayanzürkh Sporting's attack (65%) vs Khovd's defense (57%).
+8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
KhovdHigh-risk / fragile
Bayanzürkh SportingHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Khovd100%
0Draws
0Bayanzürkh Sporting0%