Goal expectancy
1.34Expected goals1.46
From 32 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Kidderminster Harriers 0-1 Wrexham Prediction
Balanced — model leans Wrexham
Estimated win chances: Kidderminster Harriers 34.7%, draw 25.2%, Wrexham 40.1%. From 32 and 31 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingKidderminster Harriers
Weighted momentum
Wrexham arrives with stronger form weighting (+24 momentum).
79Hot streakWrexham
Wrexham · compact defense · hot form
Kidderminster Harriers
15W · 9D · 8LRecent →DLDWLWDWWWDDWWLWLDLWDWLWDLWWDWWL
Momentum index
Wrexham
22W · 5D · 4LRecent →WWLWWWWWWWDWDDWWWWWLWDLLWWWWWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Kidderminster Harriers
54 pts47% wins
15W · 9D · 8L · 32 played
For58
Against44
Wrexham
71 pts71% wins
22W · 5D · 4L · 31 played
For59
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Kidderminster Harriers offensive edge
Kidderminster Harriers faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-27 - Wrexham offensive edge
Wrexham's attack (67%) vs Kidderminster Harriers's defense (40%).
+27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Wrexhamcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Kidderminster Harriers100%
0Draws
0Wrexham0%