Goal expectancy
1.84Expected goals1.10
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Kom
Estimated win chances: Kom 54.7%, draw 22.8%, Berane 22.5%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellKom
Weighted momentum
Kom carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).
11Cold spellBerane
Kom · cold formBerane · High-risk / fragile
Kom
4W · 2D · 7LRecent →LWWLLDLLLDLWW
Momentum index
Berane
1W · 2D · 10LRecent →LLDLLLLLWLLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKom +9
Kom
14 pts31% wins
4W · 2D · 7L · 13 played
For16
Against19
Berane
5 pts8% wins
1W · 2D · 10L · 13 played
For11
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Kom offensive edge
Kom's attack (71%) vs Berane's defense (37%).
+34 - Berane offensive edge
Berane runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-34
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Komcold form
BeraneHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Kom100%
0Draws
0Berane0%