Goal expectancy
1.30Expected goals1.04
From 26 and 27 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Kom
Estimated win chances: Kom 42.5%, draw 27.8%, Ibar 29.8%. From 26 and 27 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellKom
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
30Cold spellIbar
Kom · low scoring · cold formIbar · low scoring · cold form
Kom
6W · 4D · 16LRecent →WWWLLLDLWLLLLLLWDWDLLLDLLL
Momentum index
Ibar
6W · 6D · 15LRecent →LLWLLDWWLDLLDLWLLLLDWDLWDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Kom
22 pts23% wins
6W · 4D · 16L · 26 played
For20
Against39
Ibar
24 pts22% wins
6W · 6D · 15L · 27 played
For20
Against40
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Kom offensive edge
Kom's attack (75%) vs Ibar's defense (35%).
+40 - Ibar offensive edge
Ibar runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Komlow scoring · cold form
Ibarlow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Kom71%
1Draws
1Ibar14%