Goal expectancy
1.75Expected goals0.82
From 21 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Koper
Estimated win chances: Koper 59.5%, draw 23.3%, Nafta 17.3%. From 21 and 22 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingKoper
Weighted momentum
Koper carries the sharper recent run (+33 momentum).
22Cold spellNafta
Koper · compact defenseNafta · High-risk / fragile
Koper
11W · 3D · 7LRecent →LLWWDLWWWLWWDLDWWLWLW
Momentum index
Nafta
3W · 5D · 14LRecent →DLWDLDLLLDLLDLLWLLLLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Koper
36 pts52% wins
11W · 3D · 7L · 21 played
For31
Against19
Nafta
14 pts14% wins
3W · 5D · 14L · 22 played
For15
Against39
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Koper offensive edge
Koper's attack (67%) vs Nafta's defense (41%).
+26 - Nafta offensive edge
Nafta runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-26
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Kopercompact defense
NaftaHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Koper50%
0Draws
2Nafta50%