Goal expectancy
1.45Expected goals1.26
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Koper
Estimated win chances: Koper 41.6%, draw 25.6%, Nafta 32.8%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
56BuildingKoper
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
51MixedNafta
Koper · Structured / conservative
Koper
4W · 3D · 2LRecent →LWWWDLDDW
Momentum index
Nafta
4W · 1D · 4LRecent →WWLLLDWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapKoper +2
Koper
15 pts44% wins
4W · 3D · 2L · 9 played
For9
Against8
Nafta
13 pts44% wins
4W · 1D · 4L · 9 played
For17
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Koper offensive edge
Koper's attack (33%) vs Nafta's defense (25%).
+8 - Nafta offensive edge
Nafta runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
KoperStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Koper29%
1Draws
4Nafta57%