Goal expectancy
1.60Expected goals1.45
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Kumla
Estimated win chances: Kumla 41.3%, draw 24%, Lidköping 34.7%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
45MixedKumla
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
49MixedLidköping
Kumla · leaky defense
Kumla
4W · 3D · 5LRecent →WDWLLDDLWLWL
Momentum index
Lidköping
5W · 5D · 2LRecent →DLWDWDLDDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLidköping +5
Kumla
15 pts33% wins
4W · 3D · 5L · 12 played
For23
Against23
Lidköping
20 pts42% wins
5W · 5D · 2L · 12 played
For18
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Kumla offensive edge
Kumla faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-8 - Lidköping offensive edge
Lidköping's attack (32%) vs Kumla's defense (24%).
+8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Kumlaleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Kumla40%
2Draws
1Lidköping20%