Lagarto 1-0 Decisão Prediction

LagartoLagarto
1 — 0FT
DecisãoDecisão
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

LagartoLagartovsDecisãoDecisão

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Lagarto

Estimated win chances: Lagarto 46.8%, draw 24.1%, Decisão 29.1%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.66Expected goals1.26

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 2–07.7%
  • 1–27.4%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

40MixedLagarto
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

33Cold spellDecisão
Lagarto · leaky defenseDecisão · High-risk / fragile

Lagarto

2W · 4D · 3L
Recent →WDDDLLLWD
Momentum index

Decisão

2W · 2D · 5L
Recent →DWLLLWLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLagarto +2

Lagarto

10 pts
22% wins

2W · 4D · 3L · 9 played

For
13
Against
15
Goal diff -2

Decisão

8 pts
22% wins

2W · 2D · 5L · 9 played

For
10
Against
16
Goal diff -6

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Lagarto offensive edge

    Lagarto's attack (50%) vs Decisão's defense (38%).

    +12
  • Decisão offensive edge

    Decisão runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -12

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Lagarto50
Decisão50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Lagarto62
Decisão38

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Lagarto40
Decisão33

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Lagarto74
Decisão26

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Lagarto34
Decisão37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Lagarto60
Decisão40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Lagarto50
Decisão50
Lagartoleaky defense
DecisãoHigh-risk / fragile

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Lagarto0%
1Draws
0Decisão0%

Recent meetings

Decisão
1 – 1FT
Lagarto

Serie DRound 1