Lanus 1-0 Mirassol Prediction

LanusLanus
1 — 0FT
MirassolMirassol
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

LanusLanusvsMirassolMirassol

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Mirassol

Estimated win chances: Lanus 30.1%, draw 28.3%, Mirassol 41.5%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.02Expected goals1.25

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–113.1%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 0–010.5%
  • 1–28.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

36Cold spellLanus
Weighted momentum

Mirassol arrives with stronger form weighting (+48 momentum).

84Hot streakMirassol
Lanus · low scoring · cold formMirassol · compact defense · hot form

Lanus

2W · 0D · 3L
Recent →LLWWL
Momentum index

Mirassol

4W · 0D · 1L
Recent →WWWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMirassol +6

Lanus

6 pts
40% wins

2W · 0D · 3L · 5 played

For
2
Against
7
Goal diff -5

Mirassol

12 pts
80% wins

4W · 0D · 1L · 5 played

For
7
Against
3
Goal diff +4

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Lanus offensive edge

    Lanus faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -48
  • Mirassol offensive edge

    Mirassol's attack (78%) vs Lanus's defense (30%).

    +48

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Lanus22
Mirassol78

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Lanus30
Mirassol70

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Lanus36
Mirassol84

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Lanus-46
Mirassol146

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Lanus30
Mirassol30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Lanus33
Mirassol67

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Lanus0
Mirassol100
Lanuslow scoring · cold form
Mirassolcompact defense · hot form

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Lanus100%
0Draws
0Mirassol0%

Recent meetings

Mirassol
1 – 0FT
Lanus

CONMEBOL LibertadoresGroup stage, matchday 1