Goal expectancy
1.67Expected goals1.00
From 26 and 26 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Laredo
Estimated win chances: Laredo 53.1%, draw 24.3%, Castro 22.6%. From 26 and 26 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
75Hot streakLaredo
Weighted momentum
Laredo carries the sharper recent run (+32 momentum).
43MixedCastro
Laredo · compact defense · hot form
Laredo
16W · 5D · 5LRecent →WWWWWWDWWLWDWDWWDLDWLLWLWW
Momentum index
Castro
9W · 7D · 10LRecent →DDWLWLWLLLWLDLWWDLWDWLDWLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLaredo +19
Laredo
53 pts62% wins
16W · 5D · 5L · 26 played
For47
Against19
Castro
34 pts35% wins
9W · 7D · 10L · 26 played
For37
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Laredo offensive edge
Laredo's attack (57%) vs Castro's defense (14%).
+43 - Castro offensive edge
Castro runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-43
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Laredocompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Laredo0%
2Draws
1Castro33%