Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals1.16
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Lavagnese
Estimated win chances: Lavagnese 46.8%, draw 25%, Chieri 28.1%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
64BuildingLavagnese
Weighted momentum
Lavagnese carries the sharper recent run (+46 momentum).
18Cold spellChieri
Chieri · low scoring · cold form
Lavagnese
3W · 1D · 1LRecent →LWWWD
Momentum index
Chieri
1W · 1D · 3LRecent →LLDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLavagnese +6
Lavagnese
10 pts60% wins
3W · 1D · 1L · 5 played
For7
Against7
Chieri
4 pts20% wins
1W · 1D · 3L · 5 played
For5
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lavagnese offensive edge
Lavagnese's attack (58%) vs Chieri's defense (47%).
+11 - Chieri offensive edge
Chieri runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Chierilow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Lavagnese40%
2Draws
1Chieri20%