Laval 1-1 Chateauroux Prediction

LavalLaval
1 — 1FT
ChateaurouxChateauroux
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

LavalLavalvsChateaurouxChateauroux

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Laval 35.2%, draw 29.6%, Chateauroux 35.2%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.07Expected goals1.07

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.6%
  • 0–112.7%
  • 1–012.7%
  • 0–011.9%
  • 1–27.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

28Cold spellLaval
Weighted momentum

Chateauroux arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).

53BuildingChateauroux
Laval · low scoring · cold formChateauroux · Structured / conservative

Laval

1W · 2D · 2L
Recent →LDLWD
Momentum index

Chateauroux

2W · 2D · 1L
Recent →LWWDD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapChateauroux +3

Laval

5 pts
20% wins

1W · 2D · 2L · 5 played

For
3
Against
5
Goal diff -2

Chateauroux

8 pts
40% wins

2W · 2D · 1L · 5 played

For
5
Against
3
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Laval offensive edge

    Laval faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -25
  • Chateauroux offensive edge

    Chateauroux's attack (63%) vs Laval's defense (38%).

    +25

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Laval38
Chateauroux63

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Laval38
Chateauroux63

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Laval28
Chateauroux53

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Laval0
Chateauroux100

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Laval30
Chateauroux30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Laval38
Chateauroux62

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Laval0
Chateauroux0
Lavallow scoring · cold form
ChateaurouxStructured / conservative