LDU Loja 2-2 Macara Prediction

LDU LojaLDU Loja
2 — 2FT
MacaraMacara

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Ldu Loja

Estimated win chances: Ldu Loja 38.1%, draw 29.5%, Macara 32.5%. From 7 and 7 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.13Expected goals1.02

From 7 and 7 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.6%
  • 1–013.3%
  • 0–112%
  • 0–011.8%
  • 2–17.7%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

60BuildingLdu Loja
Weighted momentum

Ldu Loja carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).

52BuildingMacara
Ldu Loja · Structured / conservativeMacara · Structured / conservative

Ldu Loja

3W · 2D · 2L
Recent →WLWWDDL
Momentum index

Macara

3W · 1D · 3L
Recent →WWLLDLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLdu Loja +1

Ldu Loja

11 pts
43% wins

3W · 2D · 2L · 7 played

For
5
Against
6
Goal diff -1

Macara

10 pts
43% wins

3W · 1D · 3L · 7 played

For
7
Against
6
Goal diff +1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ldu Loja offensive edge

    Ldu Loja faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -7
  • Macara offensive edge

    Macara's attack (44%) vs Ldu Loja's defense (38%).

    +6

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ldu Loja56
Macara44

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ldu Loja38
Macara63

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ldu Loja60
Macara52

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ldu Loja36
Macara62

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ldu Loja30
Macara30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ldu Loja59
Macara41

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ldu Loja0
Macara0
Ldu LojaStructured / conservative
MacaraStructured / conservative