Le Mans 0-1 Chateauroux Prediction

Le MansLe Mans
0 — 1FT
ChateaurouxChateauroux
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Le MansLe MansvsChateaurouxChateauroux

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Le Mans

Estimated win chances: Le Mans 44.5%, draw 27.4%, Chateauroux 28%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.35Expected goals1.01

From 20 and 20 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–013%
  • 0–19.7%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 2–18.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

43MixedLe Mans
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

44MixedChateauroux
Le Mans · low scoring

Le Mans

5W · 7D · 8L
Recent →WWLDDLDWDLWDDLDLWLLL
Momentum index

Chateauroux

7W · 4D · 9L
Recent →DWWLDLLWLWLWLDLWLWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapChateauroux +3

Le Mans

22 pts
25% wins

5W · 7D · 8L · 20 played

For
18
Against
20
Goal diff -2

Chateauroux

25 pts
35% wins

7W · 4D · 9L · 20 played

For
21
Against
30
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Le Mans offensive edge

    Le Mans's attack (46%) vs Chateauroux's defense (40%).

    +6
  • Chateauroux offensive edge

    Chateauroux runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -6

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Le Mans46
Chateauroux54

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Le Mans60
Chateauroux40

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Le Mans43
Chateauroux44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Le Mans62
Chateauroux38

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Le Mans30
Chateauroux30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Le Mans50
Chateauroux50

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Le Mans33
Chateauroux67
Le Manslow scoring