Goal expectancy
1.21Expected goals1.15
From 24 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Le Mans 37.5%, draw 27.9%, Sedan 34.6%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingLe Mans
Weighted momentum
Le Mans carries the sharper recent run (+13 momentum).
44MixedSedan
Sedan · compact defense
Le Mans
12W · 5D · 7LRecent →LWWWLLLWWLWDWWWWDLDWLDDW
Momentum index
Sedan
8W · 11D · 5LRecent →DLLDWDDDDWLWDDDWLWWWDDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLe Mans +6
Le Mans
41 pts50% wins
12W · 5D · 7L · 24 played
For29
Against23
Sedan
35 pts33% wins
8W · 11D · 5L · 24 played
For36
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Le Mans offensive edge
Le Mans's attack (70%) vs Sedan's defense (57%).
+13 - Sedan offensive edge
Sedan runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-13
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Sedancompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Le Mans100%
0Draws
0Sedan0%