Goal expectancy
1.17Expected goals1.30
From 23 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Leandro N. Alem 0-1 Lugano Prediction
Balanced — model leans Lugano
Estimated win chances: Leandro N. Alem 33.3%, draw 27.1%, Lugano 39.5%. From 23 and 24 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
35Cold spellLeandro N. Alem
Weighted momentum
Lugano arrives with stronger form weighting (+15 momentum).
50MixedLugano
Leandro N. Alem · High-risk / fragileLugano · compact defense
Leandro N. Alem
7W · 6D · 10LRecent →LLDLWLDDLWLWWWDLLDLDWWL
Momentum index
Lugano
9W · 9D · 6LRecent →LDWWWDDWWLDLDWLDDDLLWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Leandro N. Alem
27 pts30% wins
7W · 6D · 10L · 23 played
For25
Against39
Lugano
36 pts38% wins
9W · 9D · 6L · 24 played
For28
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Leandro N. Alem offensive edge
Leandro N. Alem faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-28 - Lugano offensive edge
Lugano's attack (70%) vs Leandro N. Alem's defense (42%).
+28
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Leandro N. AlemHigh-risk / fragile
Luganocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Leandro N. Alem40%
3Draws
3Lugano30%