Leeds 2-1 Middlesbrough Prediction

LeedsLeeds
2 — 1FT
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

LeedsLeedsvsMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Leeds

Estimated win chances: Leeds 40.3%, draw 27%, Middlesbrough 32.7%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.32Expected goals1.16

From 16 and 16 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 0–19.9%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 0–08.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

37Cold spellLeeds
Weighted momentum

Middlesbrough arrives with stronger form weighting (+20 momentum).

57BuildingMiddlesbrough
Leeds · cold formMiddlesbrough · compact defense

Leeds

7W · 2D · 7L
Recent →LLLWLLLWLWWWWDDW
Momentum index

Middlesbrough

7W · 5D · 4L
Recent →WWWLDDLDWDWDLWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapMiddlesbrough +3

Leeds

23 pts
44% wins

7W · 2D · 7L · 16 played

For
24
Against
19
Goal diff +5

Middlesbrough

26 pts
44% wins

7W · 5D · 4L · 16 played

For
21
Against
13
Goal diff +8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Leeds offensive edge

    Leeds faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -24
  • Middlesbrough offensive edge

    Middlesbrough's attack (57%) vs Leeds's defense (33%).

    +24

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Leeds43
Middlesbrough57

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Leeds33
Middlesbrough67

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Leeds37
Middlesbrough57

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Leeds2
Middlesbrough98

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Leeds30
Middlesbrough30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Leeds23
Middlesbrough77

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Leeds62
Middlesbrough38
Leedscold form
Middlesbroughcompact defense