Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals0.97
From 22 and 22 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Leioa
Estimated win chances: Leioa 44.4%, draw 28%, Durango 27.6%. From 22 and 22 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
63BuildingLeioa
Weighted momentum
Leioa carries the sharper recent run (+11 momentum).
52BuildingDurango
Durango · Structured / conservative
Leioa
12W · 3D · 7LRecent →LWWWWLWWDLLWWDWWDLLWWL
Momentum index
Durango
8W · 9D · 5LRecent →WLWDLDLWWWDWWLLDDDWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLeioa +6
Leioa
39 pts55% wins
12W · 3D · 7L · 22 played
For32
Against22
Durango
33 pts36% wins
8W · 9D · 5L · 22 played
For22
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Leioa offensive edge
Leioa's attack (58%) vs Durango's defense (54%).
+4 - Durango offensive edge
Durango runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
DurangoStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Leioa33%
2Draws
4Durango44%