Goal expectancy
1.26Expected goals0.98
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Leioa
Estimated win chances: Leioa 42.7%, draw 28.5%, Touring 28.8%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
68Hot streakLeioa
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
64BuildingTouring
Leioa · compact defense · hot formTouring · compact defense
Leioa
6W · 2D · 3LRecent →WWDWWDLLWWL
Momentum index
Touring
5W · 4D · 2LRecent →WDWDWDWDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLeioa +1
Leioa
20 pts55% wins
6W · 2D · 3L · 11 played
For17
Against8
Touring
19 pts45% wins
5W · 4D · 2L · 11 played
For13
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Leioa offensive edge
Leioa's attack (62%) vs Touring's defense (33%).
+29 - Touring offensive edge
Touring runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-29
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Leioacompact defense · hot form
Touringcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Leioa67%
1Draws
1Touring17%