Goal expectancy
1.51Expected goals1.15
From 4 and 4 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Leiston 3-1 Redditch United Prediction
Balanced — model leans Leiston
Estimated win chances: Leiston 45.5%, draw 25.6%, Redditch United 28.9%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
39Cold spellLeiston
Weighted momentum
Leiston carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).
22Cold spellRedditch United
Leiston · cold formRedditch United · low scoring · cold form
Leiston
1W · 2D · 1LRecent →DLWD
Momentum index
Redditch United
0W · 3D · 1LRecent →LDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLeiston +2
Leiston
5 pts25% wins
1W · 2D · 1L · 4 played
For7
Against6
Redditch United
3 pts0% wins
0W · 3D · 1L · 4 played
For3
Against4
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Leiston offensive edge
Leiston's attack (70%) vs Redditch United's defense (60%).
+10 - Redditch United offensive edge
Redditch United runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Leistoncold form
Redditch Unitedlow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
6Leiston75%
0Draws
2Redditch United25%