Goal expectancy
1.23Expected goals1.05
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Leivadia
Estimated win chances: Leivadia 40.3%, draw 28.4%, Ormideia 31.4%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedLeivadia
Weighted momentum
Ormideia arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).
50MixedOrmideia
Ormideia · Structured / conservative
Leivadia
7W · 3D · 6LRecent →WDLLLLWDLWDWWLWW
Momentum index
Ormideia
6W · 5D · 5LRecent →WDLWDLWDLDWWWLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLeivadia +1
Leivadia
24 pts44% wins
7W · 3D · 6L · 16 played
For19
Against19
Ormideia
23 pts38% wins
6W · 5D · 5L · 16 played
For16
Against15
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Leivadia offensive edge
Leivadia faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-20 - Ormideia offensive edge
Ormideia's attack (60%) vs Leivadia's defense (40%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
OrmideiaStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
1Leivadia100%
0Draws
0Ormideia0%