Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals1.15
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Lenense
Estimated win chances: Lenense 40.3%, draw 27.2%, Colunga 32.6%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
36Cold spellLenense
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
41MixedColunga
Lenense · cold formColunga · low scoring
Lenense
6W · 5D · 9LRecent →LWLLWWDLLLWLLDLDDWWD
Momentum index
Colunga
6W · 7D · 7LRecent →DDLDDDWLWWDLLWLWDWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapColunga +2
Lenense
23 pts30% wins
6W · 5D · 9L · 20 played
For21
Against29
Colunga
25 pts30% wins
6W · 7D · 7L · 20 played
For19
Against23
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Lenense offensive edge
Lenense's attack (55%) vs Colunga's defense (50%).
+5 - Colunga offensive edge
Colunga runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-5
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Lenensecold form
Colungalow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Lenense25%
2Draws
1Colunga25%